Gas Forecasters Forum
October 13-15, 2008 - Loews Hotel - New Orleans LA
The Gas Forecasters Forum is part of the SGA Fall Leadership Conference. Breakout sessions in this conference also include:
- Communications/Public Affairs
- Gas Transportation
- Rates and Regulatory Affairs
- Tax
2007 Gas Forecasters Forum Conference presentations:
Fay GFF07
Emmrich GFF07
Brown GFF07
Fay Customer Attrition GFF07
Dean GFF07
Johnson GFF07
Nikolich GFF07
Sources of Climate and Climate Outlook Information:
http://www.weather.gov/climate/l3mto.php
Visit the SGA Library to access the slides/handouts from the following presentation:
The Future Economic Outlook - Dr. Loren Scott, Economist
U.S. Production Trends, Pipeline Projects, and their Potential Impact
Kevin Petak, Director Energy Modeling and Forecasting, Energy and Environmental Analysis Inc.
Byron Wright, Vice President of Corporate Development, El Paso Corp.
Greg Hopper, Vice President, Lukens Energy Group, a Black & Veatch Company
Winter Weather Forecast - Dr. Deirdre Kann, National Weather Service
North American Supply Outlook – Issues and Opportunities
Greg Hopper, Vice President, Lukens Energy Group, a Black & Veatch Compan
Gas Price Elasticity - Professor Carol Dahl, Director, CSM/IFP Petroleum Economics and Management, Colorado School of Mines
The Art and Science of Finding Lost and Unaccounted-for Natural Gas
Dr. George Corliss., Marquette University
Forecasting and Supply Planning Practices
Survey
This survey was conducted in 1991, 1995, 2000 and 2005 (updated approximately every 5 years). The survey contains information on the following:
- Forecasting Daily Requirements
- Winter Period Design Day Weather
- Daily Forecasting Accuracy
- Daily / Seasonal Contract Entitlement Level of Supply
- Operations
- Open Access of LDC Markets
This project was sponsored by SGA, American Gas Association, Canadian
Gas Association, Gas Technology Institute, Northeast Gas Association, and Ohio Gas Association.
To download an order form, 2005 Forecasting Survey order form.
Gas Forecasters Interest Group Listserve
(gasforecastersonline@sgainfo.org)
This listserve is simply a method of electronic mail
transfer where email is distributed to a set list of recipients from a
central point. When you subscribe to gasforecastersonline@sgainfo.org,
your name and e-mail address is automatically added to the list.
You will receive a standard letter of welcome (via e-mail) telling you
about the list. From that time on, you will receive all mail (postings)
sent to the list by its members. You may follow the discussions or join
in on them. If you respond, you can send your response to the list (in
which case, all members of the list will receive it), or to an individual
on the list. You can signoff (unsubscribe) from a list at any time.
How to subscribe:
To join gasforecastersonline@sgainfo.org, send a message to:
gasforecastersonline-request@sgainfo.org
Put "SUBSCRIBE" as the first and only line
in the message body. A a message indicating success or failure will be
sent to you by gasforecastersonline@sgainfo.org.
How to unsubscribe:
To unsubscribe to gasforecastersonline@sgainfo.org, send a mail message
to:
gasforecastersonline-request@sgainfo.org
Put "UNSUBSCRIBE" as the first and only line
in the message body.
For more information or if you experience difficulty, contact Melinda Bellido
(mbellido@southerngas.org).
Resources
Welcome to the Gas Forecasters Interest Group Resource
Center. Below is a list of product and service providers you may find
useful.
Energy Solutions International - Houston, TX
www.energy-solutions.com
The Load Forecast System (LFS) predicts hourly gas loads on a meter-by-meter
basis for as long as reliable weather forecast information is available.
Honeywell - Duluth, GA
www.acs.honeywell.com
Gas forecasting software.
GASDAY - Marquette University
www.gasday.com
Dr. Ronald H. Brown, Associate Professor of Electrical and Computer
Engineering at Marquette University, and research assistants have developed
an Gas Load Estimation and Analysis Tool. The GASDAY, GasHour, GasMonth,
and GasYear (coming soon) software works for all size LDCs, usable anywhere,
and for any size market. The GASDAY website provides information on
our various software and services that are sure to meet all of your
forecasting needs.
Iowa State University - Ames, IA
www.iastate.edu
Adaptive computing laboratory neural tools, tool kit, software for data
driven modeling and forecasting.
NewEnergy Associates - Atlanta, GA
www.newenergyassoc.com
Software and consulting services for NewEnergy Sendout and New Energy
Nostradamus.
Planalytics, Inc. - Wayne, PA
www.planalytics.com
Weathernomics gas buyer.
PRT, Inc. - Dallas, TX
www.prt-inc.com
PRT, Inc. is a consulting, research and development firm offering specialized
expertise in forecasting, system modeling, artificial neural networks,
fuzzy logic, pattern recognition, and intelligent systems. Since 1995,
PRT has been involved in developing state-of-the-art load forecasting
tools for the electric and natural gas industries.
Regional Economic Research, Inc. - San Diego, CA
www.rer.com
RER is an energy and economic consulting firm specializing in forecasting
and the development of software tools. MetrixND is widely used for the
development of short-term energy and price forecasts. NDAuto is a companion
to MetrixND that automates forecasting of daily gas sent out and market
prices.
WSI - Billerica, MA
www.wsi.com
